James Buttler takes a look at Saturday in the Premier League and finds a 52/1 treble that's well worth a look.
Everton v Manchester Utd
David Moyes has strolled back into Goodison Park and the mood seemingly changed immediately. The results certainly have and what seemed like another season long battle against the drop has turned into an optimistic long goodbye to their famous home ground before pastures new in a new stadium.
Under Moyes Everton have claimed 13 points from a possible 18 in the Premier League and they prepare to play a Manchester United side in 15th place, a point below Everton after two league defeats, and beleaguered by injury. The Red Devils have lost eight matches of 14 played under Ruben Amorim.
Everton are 13/8 favourites to win the match and that’s probably about right. But for my quick tip I’m going to ride on the recent Beto magic up front. The striker has bagged four in five games under the returning Moyes and if you play Everton to win with a Beto goal anytime the price is a pleasant 8.34/1. That’ll do me.
Southampton v Brighton
Southampton lost 2-1 to Bournemouth last week and they’ve lost seven straight at home and conceded 25 goals and scored just five in that run. Add that the Saints haven’t beaten Brighton in their last six meetings, losing three, and the inevitable lurch towards relegation is likely to get cemented even further on Saturday.
In fact, Brighton have never been beaten at St Mary’s in the Premier League, collecting two wins and four draws, and after a morale boosting 3-0 win over Chelsea last week the memories of a calamitous 7-0 drubbing by Nottingham Forest are fading.
I doubt even the most one-eyed Southampton fan rates their chances and when working out a bet on this match it really is a case of ‘Brighton by how many?’ The 5/8 on a Brighton win isn’t the worst idea in the world, certainly as part of your weekend accas, but my quick tip is Brighton and over 2.5 match goals at 6/5 with Bet365.
Arsenal v West Ham
Arsenal left it late to take a 2-0 win at Leicester as Mikel Merino’s brace as a makeshift striker substitute kept pressure on leaders Liverpool.
The Gunners have scored 11 goals across their last two matches with West Ham and with Arsenal unbeaten at home in 15 league games this will be a tough task for the Hammers regardless of Arsenal’s injury problems.
Graham Potter has won just once in his six matches as West Ham boss and he has injuries to contend with too. It would be a brave person to back a repeat of West Ham’s win at The Emirates from last season.
This is surely another Arsenal win and this fixture has produced an average of 4.5 goals per game across the last six head-to-heads. The quick bet is an Arsenal win and over 3.5 match goals at 2/1 with Betfair.
James’ Saturday Premier League Treble
If you play a Everton to win with a Beto goal, Brighton win and over 2.5 and Arsenal to win and over 3.5, the treble is worth 52/1 with Betfair and I think that has a decent chance.
Please always gamble responsibly.