Al Ross previews two very different Premier League games this Sunday... and backs the outsiders each time.
Spurs v Manchester United; These are two of the Premier League's "Big 6", and yet with 3 months left of the season, this is a bottom half clash.
Here's the funny thing about Spurs. As bad as they've been, with cup exits, Solanke's injury and all the rest, Spurs love scoring in the league at home. Only Brentford have scored more on their own ground this season. You read that correctly. Spurs have scored more at home than Chelsea have at the Bridge, more than Man City at the Etihad, more than Liverpool have at Anfield. A 1-0 home defeat to Arsenal in September is the only time they've failed to score at home this season.
So it's a been a safe-ish bet be able to back the odd goal for this Tottenham side - but can you back a side without Maddison, Richarlison, Odobert, Johnson to actually win? When fit, there's a stronger eleven with Spurs' injury room than is available right now to the embattled Ange Postecoglu.
As bad as United are this season, it's 6 wins in 8 at the moment. They've not all been against the best opposition, but I believe the adage that wininng is a habit and at 17/10 with Unibet, I'll take United in this one. And at 3/1, I'll take a United win with both teams to score....
And then I'll take BetVictor's 10/1 on Edin Terzic to be the next Spurs manager.
Elsewhere it's Liverpool v Wolves, and I have always said that no side ever deserves to be a double-figure price in a Premier League game.
Wolves at 14/1 with Betfred seems a big price. Can you trust a side with just 2 wins in 5? That's a stat that does apply to Wolves, but it also applies to Liverpool. There may be excuses for defeat at PSV in the Champions League and against Plymouth in the FA cup, but there are fewer for the Merseyside derby.
Should Liverpool win this? Yes. But 1/6? Not having it. Yes Liverpool have a long unbeaten streak in the league. Yes, they've got a good record against them, but they don't win 6 in every 7 like the price suggests they should. I will take the AK Bets 4/1 on the double chance on Wolves or the Draw, but I imagine most people are here looking for a pro-Liverpool bet. So is there a pro-Liverpool bet worth backing? Well yes, and it's Mo Salah. With goals in each of his last 5 games, 17/20 anytime scorer is a worthy price. Of his 22 goals so far this season, only 2 have been the opening strike in the Premier League this season, so don't take that 3/1. If you want a bigger price, 3/1 last goalscorer is more appealing.
AND YET, he's not even my favourite goalscorer bet here. Matheus Cunha has scored in his last two, and 5 of Wolves' last 9, which for a side battling against the drop is an exceptional scoring record and Bet MGM's 19/5 anytime goalscorer price is not just generous, it's way too generous, and it's my favourite bet in either of Sunday's Premier League games.
TIPS:
United 17/10 United and BTTS 3/1 Wolves or draw 4/1
Mo Salah anytime goalscorer 17/20
Mattheus Cuenha anytime goalscorer 19/5 NAP